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Temperature,relative humidity and sunshine may be the effective predictors for occurrence of malaria in Guangzhou,southern China,2006-2012
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نویسنده
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li t. ,yang z. ,wang m.
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منبع
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parasites and vectors - 2013 - دوره : 6 - شماره : 1
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چکیده
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Malaria has been endemic in guangzhou for more than 50 years. the goal of this study was to use a negative binomial regression to identify the relationship between meteorological variables and malaria reported. our results revealed that each 1°c rise of temperature corresponds to an increase of 0.90% in the monthly number of malaria cases. likewise,a one percent rise in relative humidity led to an increase of 3.99% and a one hour rise in sunshine led to an increase of 0.68% in the monthly number of cases. our findings may be useful for developing a simple,precise malaria early warning system. © 2013 li et al.; licensee biomed central ltd.
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کلیدواژه
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Correlation; Early warning; Malaria; Meteorological variables; Parasite disease
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آدرس
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guangzhou center for disease control and prevention,guangzhou,guangdong province,510440, China, guangzhou center for disease control and prevention,guangzhou,guangdong province,510440, China, guangzhou center for disease control and prevention,guangzhou,guangdong province,510440, China
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Authors
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