|
|
|
|
Effects of global changes on the climatic niche of the tick Ixodes ricinus inferred by species distribution modelling
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
نویسنده
|
porretta d. ,mastrantonio v. ,amendolia s. ,gaiarsa s. ,epis s. ,genchi c. ,bandi c. ,otranto d. ,urbanelli s.
|
|
منبع
|
parasites and vectors - 2013 - دوره : 6 - شماره : 1
|
|
چکیده
|
Background: global climate change can seriously impact on the epidemiological dynamics of vector-borne diseases. in this study we investigated how future climatic changes could affect the climatic niche of ixodes ricinus (acari,ixodida),among the most important vectors of pathogens of medical and veterinary concern in europe. methods. species distribution modelling (sdm) was used to reconstruct the climatic niche of i. ricinus,and to project it into the future conditions for 2050 and 2080,under two scenarios: a continuous human demographic growth and a severe increase of gas emissions (scenario a2),and a scenario that proposes lower human demographic growth than a2,and a more sustainable gas emissions (scenario b2). models were reconstructed using the algorithm of maximum entropy
|
|
کلیدواژه
|
as implemented in the software Maxent 3.3.3e; 4
|
|
آدرس
|
department of environmental biology,university of rome la sapienza,via dei sardi 70,00185 rome, Italy, department of environmental biology,university of rome la sapienza,via dei sardi 70,00185 rome, Italy, department of environmental biology,university of rome la sapienza,via dei sardi 70,00185 rome, Italy, department of veterinary science and public health,university of milan,milan, Italy, department of veterinary science and public health,university of milan,milan,italy,school of bioscience and biotechnology,university of camerino,camerino, Italy, department of veterinary science and public health,university of milan,milan, Italy, department of veterinary science and public health,university of milan,milan, Italy, department of veterinary medicine,university of bari,bari, Italy, department of environmental biology,university of rome la sapienza,via dei sardi 70,00185 rome, Italy
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Authors
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|