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   Good luck,bad luck,and ambiguity aversion  
   
نویسنده pulford b.d. ,gill p.
منبع judgment and decision making - 2014 - دوره : 9 - شماره : 2 - صفحه:159 -166
چکیده    We report a series of experiments investigating the influence of feeling lucky or unlucky on people's choice of knownrisk or ambiguous options using the traditional ellsberg urns decision-making task. we induced a state of feeling lucky or unlucky in subjects by using a rigged wheel-of-fortune game,which just missed either the bankrupt or the jackpot outcome. in the first experiment a large reversal of the usual ambiguity aversion effect was shown,indicating that feeling lucky made subjects significantly more ambiguity seeking than usual. however,this effect failed to replicate in five refined and larger follow-up experiments. thus we conclude that there is no evidence that feeling lucky reliably influences ambiguity aversion. men were less ambiguity averse than women when there were potential gains to be had,but there were no gender differences when the task was negatively framed in terms of losses. © 2013.
کلیدواژه Ambiguity aversion; Decision making; Ellsberg paradox; Luck
آدرس school of psychology,university of leicester,leicester,le1 7rh, United Kingdom, university of leicester, United Kingdom
 
     
   
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