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social networks, exchange rate fluctuation, and economic growth: ardl approach
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DOR
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20.1001.2.2080297181.1397.2.1.79.9
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نویسنده
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ebrahimi pejman ,khajeheian datis ,gholampour abbas ,alipour hamidreza
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منبع
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كنفرانس بين المللي پژوهش در نوآوري و فناوري - 1397 - دوره : 2 - دومین کنفرانس بین المللی پژوهش در نوآوری و فناوری - کد همایش: 20802-97181
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چکیده
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This study aimed to investigate the effects of social network propaganda on exchange rate, and also exchange rate fluctuations on iran economic growth. this study uses annual data to analyze the long-run and short-run relationship between variables for the period of 1993-2018. data were collected from the central bank of iran. the autoregressive distributive lag (ardl) method was used proposed by pesaran et al. (2001). results of long-run analysis show that a 1% increase in negative propaganda of social media about the exchange rate leads to a 38% decline in long-run economic growth. also, a 1% increase in exchange rate fluctuations results in a 35% decrease in economic growth. research findings also indicate negative short-run impacts of social networks on the excitement of the foreign exchange market and, ultimately, on economic growth
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کلیدواژه
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economic growth ,exchange rate fluctuation ,social networks ,ardl
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آدرس
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rasht branch, islamic azad university, iran, university of tehran, iran, rasht branch, islamic azad university, iran, rasht branch, islamic azad university, iran
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پست الکترونیکی
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khajeheian@ut.ac.ir
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Social networks, exchange rate fluctuation, and economic growth: ARDL approach
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Authors
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Ebrahimi Pejman ,Khajeheian Datis ,Gholampour Abbas ,Alipour Hamidreza
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Abstract
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This study aimed to investigate the effects of social network propaganda on exchange rate, and also exchange rate fluctuations on Iran economic growth. This study uses annual data to analyze the long-run and short-run relationship between variables for the period of 1993-2018. Data were collected from the Central Bank of Iran. The autoregressive distributive lag (ARDL) method was used proposed by Pesaran et al. (2001). Results of long-run analysis show that a 1% increase in negative propaganda of social media about the exchange rate leads to a 38% decline in long-run economic growth. Also, a 1% increase in exchange rate fluctuations results in a 35% decrease in economic growth. Research findings also indicate negative short-run impacts of social networks on the excitement of the foreign exchange market and, ultimately, on economic growth
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Keywords
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Economic growth ,Exchange rate fluctuation ,Social networks ,ARDL
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