evaluating of the earthquake hazard parameters with bayesian method for the different seismic source regions of the northern iran

Bayesian method is straightforward procedure of estimating of hazard parameters. we present the results of bayesian statistics technique for northern iran to estimate the earthquake hazard parameters (maximum regional magnitude mmax, b value of gr relationship and seismic activity rate or intensity λ) and quantiles of its probabilistic distribution on some future time interval. therefore, we using a reliable earthquake catalogue which is homogeneous for 3.1 ≤ mb ≤ 6.2 andduring the period before 1900 to august 2018 is compiled.