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   Bertrands Paradox Revisited:More Lessons about that Ambiguous Word, Random  
   
نویسنده Chiu Samuel S ,Larson Richard C
منبع journal of industrial and systems engineering - 2009 - دوره : 3 - شماره : 1 - صفحه:1 -26
چکیده    The bertrand paradox question is: “consider a unit-radius circle for which the length of a side of an inscribed equilateral triangle equals √3 . determine the probability that the length of a ‘random’ chord of a unit-radius circle has length greater than √3 .” bertrand derived three different ‘correct’ answers, the correctness depending on interpretation of the word, random.here we employ geometric and probability arguments to extend bertrand’s analysis in two ways: (1) for his three classic examples, we derive the probability distributions of the chord lengths; and (2) we also derive the distribution of chord lengths for five new plausible interpretations of randomness. this includes connecting (and extending) two random points within the circle to form a random chord, perhaps being a most natural interpretation of random.
کلیدواژه Bertrand paradox ,geometrical probability ,randomness ,mathematical modeling
آدرس Stanford University, Department of Management Science and Engineering, USA, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Engineering Systems Division, Department of Civil & Environmental Engineering, USA
پست الکترونیکی rclarson@mit.edu
 
     
   
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