|
|
Bertrands Paradox Revisited:More Lessons about that Ambiguous Word, Random
|
|
|
|
|
نویسنده
|
Chiu Samuel S ,Larson Richard C
|
منبع
|
journal of industrial and systems engineering - 2009 - دوره : 3 - شماره : 1 - صفحه:1 -26
|
چکیده
|
The bertrand paradox question is: “consider a unit-radius circle for which the length of a side of an inscribed equilateral triangle equals √3 . determine the probability that the length of a ‘random’ chord of a unit-radius circle has length greater than √3 .” bertrand derived three different ‘correct’ answers, the correctness depending on interpretation of the word, random.here we employ geometric and probability arguments to extend bertrand’s analysis in two ways: (1) for his three classic examples, we derive the probability distributions of the chord lengths; and (2) we also derive the distribution of chord lengths for five new plausible interpretations of randomness. this includes connecting (and extending) two random points within the circle to form a random chord, perhaps being a most natural interpretation of random.
|
کلیدواژه
|
Bertrand paradox ,geometrical probability ,randomness ,mathematical modeling
|
آدرس
|
Stanford University, Department of Management Science and Engineering, USA, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Engineering Systems Division, Department of Civil & Environmental Engineering, USA
|
پست الکترونیکی
|
rclarson@mit.edu
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Authors
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|