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   Predictive Role of Population Density and Use of Public Transport for Major Outcomes of SARS-CoV-2 Infection in the Italian Population: An Ecological Study  
   
نویسنده ilardi alfonso ,chieffi sergio ,ilardi ciro rosario
منبع journal of research in health sciences - 2021 - دوره : 21 - شماره : 2 - صفحه:1 -5
چکیده    Background: this study aimed at assessing how population density (pd), aging index (ai), use ofpublic transport (urpt), and pm10 concentration (pi) modulated the trajectory of the main covid-19 pandemic outcomes in italy, also in the recrudescence phase of the epidemic.study design: ecological study.methods: for each region, we recovered data about cases, deaths, and case fatality rate (cfr)recorded since both the beginning of the epidemic and september 1, 2020. data about totalhospitalizations were included as well.results: pd correlated with, and was the best predictor of, total and partial cases, total and partialdeaths, and total hospitalizations. moreover, urpt correlated with, and was the best predictor of,total cfr. besides, pi correlated significantly with total and partial cases, total and partial deaths,and total hospitalizations.conclusions: pd explains covid-19 morbidity, mortality, and severity while urpt is the bestpredictor of disease lethality. these findings should be interpreted with caution due to the ecologicalfallacy.
کلیدواژه Air Pollution ,COVID-19 ,Ecological Study ,Population Density ,Public Transport
آدرس a.o.r.n. antonio cardarelli hospital, department of internal medicine, Italy, university of campania luigi vanvitelli, department of experimental medicine, Italy, university of campania luigi vanvitelli, department of psychology, Italy
 
     
   
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