شناسایی پیشایندها و پسایندهای بیانیه گام دوم انقلاب اسلامی

ﻫﺪف اﯾﻦ ﭘﮋوﻫﺶ، ﺷﻨﺎﺳﺎﯾﯽ و اوﻟﻮﯾﺖﺑﻨﺪی ﭘﯿﺸﺎﯾﻨﺪﻫﺎ و ﭘﺴﺎﯾﻨﺪﻫﺎی ﺑﯿﺎﻧﯿﻪ ﮔﺎم دوم اﻧﻘﻼب اﺳﻼﻣﯽ ﺑﺎ اﺳﺘﻔﺎده از روﯾﮑﺮد دﻟﻔﯽ ﻓﺎزی اﺳﺖ. اﯾﻦ ﻣﻄﺎﻟﻌﻪ ﺑﻪ روش آﻣﯿﺨﺘﻪ )ﮐﻤﯽ و ﮐﯿﻔﯽ( و در ﭼﺎرﭼﻮب ﭘﺎراداﯾﻢ اﺳﺘﻘﺮاﯾﯽ ﺑﺎ روﯾﮑﺮد آﯾﻨﺪهﻧﮕﺮی اﻧﺠﺎمﺷﺪه و ازﻧﻈﺮ ﻫﺪف، ﮐﺎرﺑﺮدی و ازﻧﻈﺮ ﻣﺎﻫﯿﺖ، اﮐﺘﺸﺎﻓﯽ ﺑﻪ ﺷﻤﺎر ﻣﯽآﯾﺪ. ﺟﺎﻣﻌﻪ آﻣﺎری ﭘﮋوﻫﺶ ﺷﺎﻣﻞ 16 ﻧﻔﺮ از ﺧﺒﺮﮔﺎن در زﻣﯿﻨﻪﻫﺎی ﺣﻘﻮق، ﻣﺪﯾﺮﯾﺖ، ﻋﻠﻮم ﺳﯿﺎﺳﯽ و ﺟﺎﻣﻌﻪﺷﻨﺎﺳﯽ اﺳﺖ ﮐﻪ ﺑﺮ اﺳﺎس اﺻﻞ ﮐﻔﺎﯾﺖ ﻧﻈﺮی و ﺑﺎ روش ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪﮔﯿﺮی ﻫﺪﻓﻤﻨﺪ اﻧﺘﺨﺎب ﺷﺪهاﻧﺪ. در ﺑﺨﺶ ﮐﯿﻔﯽ، اﻃﻼﻋﺎت از ﻃﺮﯾﻖ ﻣﺼﺎﺣﺒﻪ ﻧﯿﻤﻪﺳﺎﺧﺘﺎرﯾﺎﻓﺘﻪ ﺟﻤﻊآوری ﺷﺪه و رواﯾﯽ و ﭘﺎﯾﺎﯾﯽ آن ﺑﺎ اﺳﺘﻔﺎده از ﺿﺮﯾﺐcvr و آزﻣﻮن ﮐﺎﭘﺎی ﮐﻮﻫﻦ ﺗﺄﯾﯿﺪ ﮔﺮدﯾﺪ. دادهﻫﺎی ﺑﻪدﺳﺖآﻣﺪه از ﻣﺼﺎﺣﺒﻪﻫﺎ ﺑﺎ ﻧﺮماﻓﺰار اﻃﻠﺲ ﺗﯽ آی 8 ﮐﺪﮔﺬاری و ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ ﺷﺪﻧﺪ. درﻧﻬﺎﯾﺖ، ﭘﯿﺸﺎﯾﻨﺪﻫﺎ و ﭘﺴﺎﯾﻨﺪﻫﺎی ﺑﯿﺎﻧﯿﻪ ﮔﺎم دوم اﻧﻘﻼب اﺳﻼﻣﯽ ﺷﻨﺎﺳﺎﯾﯽ ﺷﺪﻧﺪ. در ﺑﺨﺶ ﮐﻤﯽ، اﻃﻼﻋﺎت از ﻃﺮﯾﻖ ﭘﺮﺳﺸﻨﺎﻣﻪ ﻣﻘﺎﯾﺴﻪ زوﺟﯽ ﺟﻤﻊآوریﺷﺪه و رواﯾﯽ و ﭘﺎﯾﺎﯾﯽ آن ﺑﺎ اﺳﺘﻔﺎده از رواﯾﯽ ﻣﺤﺘﻮا و آزﻣﻮن ﻣﺠﺪد ﺗﺄﯾﯿﺪ ﮔﺮدﯾﺪ. ﭘﮋوﻫﺶ ﺣﺎﺿﺮ ﺑﺎ ﺷﻨﺎﺳﺎﯾﯽ و اوﻟﻮﯾﺖﺑﻨﺪی 15 ﭘﯿﺸﺎﯾﻨﺪ و 15 ﭘﺴﺎﯾﻨﺪ ﺑﯿﺎﻧﯿﻪ ﮔﺎم دوم اﻧﻘﻼب اﺳﻼﻣﯽ، ﺑﻪ ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ ﻋﻮاﻣﻞ ﻣﺆﺛﺮ در ﺗﺤﻘﻖ اﻫﺪاف اﯾﻦ ﺑﯿﺎﻧﯿﻪ ﭘﺮداﺧﺘﻪ اﺳﺖ. ﻧﺘﺎﯾﺞ ﻧﺸﺎن ﻣﯽدﻫﺪ ﮐﻪ ﺗﻮﺟﻪ ﺑﻪ ﭘﯿﺸﺎﯾﻨﺪﻫﺎی ﺷﻨﺎﺳﺎﯾﯽﺷﺪه ﻣﯽﺗﻮاﻧﺪ ﺑﻪ ﺗﻘﻮﯾﺖ ﭘﺴﺎﯾﻨﺪﻫﺎی ﻣﺜﺒﺖ و ﺗﺤﻘﻖ اﻫﺪاف اﻧﻘﻼب اﺳﻼﻣﯽ ﮐﻤﮏ ﮐﻨﺪ.

identifying the antecedents and consequences of the statement of the second step of the islamic revolution

the aim of the current research is to identify and prioritize the antecedents and consequences of the declaration of the second step of the islamic revolution using the fuzzy delphi approach. the method of this research is mixed (quantitative and qualitative) in the inductive paradigm, which is exploratory in terms of purpose, application and nature. the statistical population of the research consists of 16 experts in law, management, political science, sociology, who were selected based on the principle of theoretical adequacy and using the purposeful sampling method. in the qualitative part, a semi-structured interview was used to collect information, the validity and reliability of which was confirmed using the cvr coefficient and cohen’s kappa test, and the data obtained from the interview were coded and analyzed using the atlas ti8 software. as a result, the antecedents and consequences of the statement of the second step of the islamic revolution were identified. in the quantitative section, a pairwise comparison questionnaire was used to collect information, and its validity and reliability were confirmed using content validity and retesting.