تحلیل و ارزیابی رشد کمّی و کیفی برون‌دادهای علمی جمهوری اسلامی ایران

هدف: تحلیل وضعیت موجود در تولید علم و سیاست‌گذاری‌های مناسب به‌منظور ارتقای سطح کمّی و کیفی آنها، در افزایش سطح تولیدات علمی کشور تاثیر به‌سزایی دارد. این مطالعه قصد دارد گذشته از توجه به تعداد انتشارات و استنادات، شاخص‌های دیگری را مورد توجه دهد تا دید جامع‌تری درخصوص رشد هم‌زمان یا ناهم‌زمان کمیت و کیفیت علم در ایران حاصل گردد. روش‌شناسی: این پژوهش ازنظر هدف، کاربردی؛ به لحاظ رویکرد، کمّی بوده و ازنظر شیوه گردآوری داده‌ها در دسته تحقیقات توصیفی جای می‌گیرد. این مطالعه تلاش دارد با رویکرد علم‌سنجی و شاخص‌های مرتبط، به ارزیابی رشد کمّی و کیفی برون‌دادهای علمی جمهوری اسلامی ایران طی سال‌های 2010 تا 2021 بپردازد. یافته‌ها: در فاصله زمانی سال‌های 2010 تا 2021 در تعداد کل مقالات منتشرشده ایران در وب‌آوساینس و نیز شاخص‌های کیفی وابسته به آن رشدهای چندبرابری به وجود آمده است. در بُعد مجلات نیز شاخص‌های کمّی و کیفی مانند تعداد مجلات نمایه‌شده در پایگاه اس‌جی‌آر و شاخص snip نیز رشد چندبرابری را تجربه کرده‌اند. نتیجه‌گیری: رشد کیفیت تولیدات علمی ایران در سال‌های مورد مطالعه از رشد کمیت آنها پیشی گرفته است. حفظ و برنامه‌ریزی برای تقویت و تداوم این روند و نیز توجه سایر مولفه‌ها و شاخص‌های اثربخشی پژوهش‌ها ضرورت دارد.

study and evaluation of quantitative and qualitative growth of scientific outputs of the islamic republic of iran

purpose: recognizing the current situation in scientific outputs and appropriate policies to improve the scientific quantitative and qualitative levels significantly impact the country’s scientific production level. this study intends to pay attention to other indicators besides the number of publications and citations in order to obtain a more comprehensive view of the simultaneous or asynchronous growth of the quantity and quality of scientific research in iran.methodology: this research is applied in terms of purpose; in terms of approach, it is quantitative and in terms of data collection method, it is into the category of descriptive research. this study tries to evaluate the quantitative and qualitative growth of scientific outputs of the islamic republic of iran during the years 2010 to 2021 with a scientometric approach and related indicators.findings: the findings of this study indicate that in the period between 2010 and 2021, the total number of iranian articles indexed in web of science increased by 1.5 × the country’s share of the world’s published articles in web of science by 1.9 × per capita citations to the country’s articles by 1.7 × the number of highly cited researchers in the country increased by 12.3 × the h index of the country increased by 4 × the number of highly cited articles also increased by 10 × and the percentage of articles published in q1 journals increased by 1.9 times, and the weighted average index of citation impact also increased by 1.6 times. the number of journals indexed in the sjr database has increased by 2.3 times between 2010 and 2021. the number of q1 journals (based on the impact factor of sjr) belonging to iran has grown by 3.5 times in these years. the average impact factor of journals based on sjr information has also experienced a growth of 2.1 times. the snip index or the standardized influence coefficient based on the source for iran has also grown 1.7 times. based on the data analysis, it was found that the correlation coefficient of the total number of articles published on the web of science with the number of highly cited researchers is 0.903, and the assumption of a significant relationship between these two variables is confirmed. calculating the correlation coefficient of the total number of articles with the country’s share of the world’s published articles shows a number of 0.974, and confirms the relationship between these two variables. the calculation correlation coefficient for the total number of articles with the h index of the country in the studied period, which is 0.964, indicates the existence of a relationship between these two variables. the variable correlation coefficient of the total number of articles with the number of highly cited articles in the country with a rate of 0.942 indicates the existence of a relationship between the two.calculating the correlation coefficient of the total number of articles with the variable of the percentage of articles published in q1 journals showed a number of 0.789 and confirms the existence of a relationship between these two variables. paying attention to the correlation coefficient of the total number of articles and the percentage of international collaborations, at the rate of 0.925, indicates the existence of a strong relationship between these two variables. and finally, the correlation coefficient of the total number of articles with the weighted average of the citation effect shows a number of 0.991, which indicates a strong relationship between these two variables during the years under study. based on the pearson correlation coefficient test, the relationship between the variable &number of journals indexed in sjr& and &number of q1 journals& was 0.792. examining the relationship between the variable numbers of journals indexed in sjr with the average impact factor of journals shows the number 0.940 and confirms the relationship between these two variables.