سنجش و ارزیابی شاخص‌های رشد هوشمند در مناطق شهری با تاکید بر مدل تصمیم‌گیری waspas (نمونه موردی: شهر ساری)

توجه به توسعه کالبدی شهر، یک ضرورت اساسی در برنامه‌های توسعه شهری محسوب می‌شود. در ایران گسترش سریع فیزیکی شهرها در قالب رشد بدون برنامه و ناموزون در راستای علل مختلف ازجمله مهاجرت‌های بی‌رویه یکی از مشکلات اساسی شهرها محسوب شده که پدیده‌ای تحت عنوان پراکنده رویی از نتایج رشد این‌گونه است. پراکنده رویی شهری و آثار متعدد اقتصادی و زیست‌محیطی آن، صاحب‌نظران مسائل شهری را به کنکاش جهت یافتن راهبردهایی برای مقابله با این امر واداشت. یکی از این راهبردها، نظریه رشد هوشمند است. رشد هوشمند استراتژی عاقلانه‎ای برای جهت دادن به پراکندگی به سمت پایداری و توسعه‌ی هدفمند است. هدف از پژوهش حاضر ارزیابی شاخص‌های رشد هوشمند در مناطق شهر ساری است.تحقیق حاضر به لحاظ هدف از نوع کاربردی است. روش تحقیق با توجه به ماهیت مساله موردمطالعه، توصیفی- تحلیلی است. برای تحلیل داده ها، افزون بر استناد به مطالعات اسنادی و کتابخانه‌ای از روش‌های تحلیل آماری استفاده‌شده و درنهایت رتبه هر یک از مناطق ساری از منظر رشد هوشمند با استفاده از مدل واسپاس ارزیابی‌شده است. نتایج نشان داد بین مناطق ازنظر شاخص‌های رشد هوشمند نابرابری وجود دارد. درواقع شاخص‌های رشد هوشمند در مناطق چهارگانه ساری توزیعی نامتعادل دارد.

evaluating and measuring the smart growth indicators in urban areas using the waspas decision-making model (case study: sari city)

extended abstract1. introductionthe tendency towards moving to cities and urbanization is currently an increasing challenge over the world which seems to be the consequence of modernity. unbalanced growth of cities is now a remarkable challenge. paying attention to the compact city and smart growth seems to be necessary to achieve the desired pattern of scattered development. sari، as the capital of mazandaran province، has developed drastically in the last few decades. the population the city increased from 70،735 people in 1976 to 323،790 people in 2016. moreover، the physical growth and development of the city during the last half century is remarkable. the area of the city has increased sixteen times، while its population has increased approximately 12 times over the period. moreover، the rapid increase of the population of the city population and its indiscriminate expansion have created unequal urban spaces، so that the four regions of this city appear to have unequal development indicators. becoming aware of the amount of inequality seems necessary for making balance and creating correct and fair planning based on smart growth. considering the above issue، this study sough to explicate the model of smart growth in sari. it is viewed that examining the city using smart growth and paying attention to its development capacities can guide this city towards a sustainable city.2. methoddocumentary and library sources were used to collect the data of this descriptive-analytical research. the indicators of smart growth includes a wide range. considering the wide range and lack of information، from among 10 indicators of smart growth، density and mixed use were selected. then، weighted aggregated sum product assessment (waspas) was applied to examine the situation of the four districts of sari city. according to the opinion of experts of delphi technique and considering the theoretical saturation، to finalize the indicators، a sample 15 managers، deputies and employees of sari municipality were interviewed (groups of 2، 7، and 8 people). then، the shannon entropy model was used to determine the weight of these indicators.3. resultsthe results showed that district 4 of sari that is considered the main and central district of the city has the highest gross residential density and district 2 has the lowest residential density. the population density is uneven in all districts of sari (4 districts) in 2016. the gross population density is very high in the parts close the downtown of sari (that is about 101 people per hectare)، and the density decreases moving towards the districts on the outskirt of the city، recording 67 people per hectare in the areas.since the 1996 the overall residential density of the city has been decreasing. the density is 27.7 in 2016. district 4 f the city is the most populated residential district and has the highest overall residential density and district 1 has the lowest overall residential density. the statistics shows that in 1996، the population of sari was more than 195،882 people. out of 2500 hectares of the city، 753 hectares are net residential area. the net residential density increased 260 people per hectare over the last decade and reached 289 people per hectare in 2006. due to the increase of growth rate compared to the previous decade، the population in this year grew by about 65 thousand people and the residential area increased to 150 hectares.the net residential density in 2016 shows decrease in comparison to the previous decade as it reached 277 people per hec