آینده‌پژوهی سیاست خارجی جمهوری اسلامی ایران در مورد موضوع فلسطین

موضوع فلسطین به‌عنوان یکی از محوری‌ترین مسائل در سیاست خارجی جمهوری اسلامی ایران بوده است. تبیین چشم‌انداز سیاست خارجی جمهوری اسلامی ایران در موضوع فلسطین هدف اصلی نوشتار است و به دنبال تدوین سناریوهای ممکن، محتمل و مطلوب در آینده سیاست خارجی جمهوری اسلامی ایران در مورد موضوع فلسطین است.پژوهش به لحاظ ماهیت موضوع، با استفاده از نوعی روش تحقیق کیفی در دو مرحله مطالعه اکتشافی (خواندن) و مصاحبه، در پرتو سوالات اکتشافی دنبال شده است. پژوهش جامعه آماری نداشته ولی جامعه خبرگان شامل 21 نفر است که از نمونه‌گیری با روش گلوله برفی انتخاب شدند، مصاحبه‌ها تا مرحله اشباع استمرار یافت و پس از مصاحبه، برای اخذ گزاره‌های اصلی ناظر بر موضوع از متن مصاحبه‌ها، از روش تجزیه‌وتحلیل تم، 10 تم استخراج شد از جمله:الف- حمایت از جبهه مقاومت، متحدسازی و همسویی اهداف گروه‌های مقاومت در مقابل سلطه‌گری اسرائیل و ایجاد روابط عمیق با کشورهایی با سیاست‌های ضد‌اسرائیلی؛ب- بی‌انگیزگی افکار عمومی در حمایت از فلسطین به دلیل عدم ‌‌‌اعتماد به سیاستگذاران داخلی، اختلاف و تفرقه‌افکنی میان مسلمانان و نبود همگرایی در ظرفیت قدرت‌های بزرگ در موضوع فلسطین.

a future study of foreign policy of the islamic republic of iran: the case of palestine

introductionthe palestine issue has held a central position in the foreign policy of the islamic republic of iran. since its inception, the islamic republic of iran has pursued a policy of non-alignment and protection of muslims, marked by the non-recognition of the israeli regime and the protection of palestinian rights. this article aimed to elucidate the foreign policy perspective of the islamic republic of iran regarding the palestine issue, with a primary focus on formulating possible, likely, and desirable scenarios for iran’s future foreign policy on this matter.materials and methodsas an exploratory endeavor, the present research employed a qualitative research method, which consisted of two stages: an initial exploratory study involving extensive reading and subsequent interviews. the research did not involve a statistical population; instead, a community of experts comprising 21 individuals was selected through the snowball sampling method.results and discussionthe interviews were conducted until reaching the saturation stage. then, nine themes were identified through thematic analysis. the identified themes encompassed the main statements derived from the interviews. they are as follows:prioritizing the palestine issue and emphasizing its significance in iran’s constitution, as well as the necessity of supporting anti-israeli resistance according to imam khomeini’s perspective, as national religious duties and fundamental pillars of the foreign policy of the islamic republic of iran;supporting the resistance front, fostering unity, aligning goals among resistance groups against israeli dominance, and establishing strong ties with countries that maintain anti-israel policies;the lack of public incentive to support palestine attributed to distrust in domestic policymakers, divisions among muslims, and lack of consensus and a single voice on the part of the regional superpower concerning the palestinian cause;potential compromises involving recognition of the palestinian government, alongside the importance of islamic unity and awakening;supporting palestine as a national project, requiring a unified stance and support from all branches of government, including political, economic, social, military, and cultural sectors, as well as academic and research institutions;supporting the resistance front and pursuing common goals against israeli monopolization, while fostering strong relationships with the countries opposing israel;advocating for international laws pertaining to palestine, planning and overseeing referendums, and championing the right to self-determination;highlighting israeli vulnerabilities, dismantling the perception of israeli invincibility, exposing the true nature of israel, and refusing to recognize it;restoring the lost rights of palestinians and reclaiming control over their territories;achieving absolute dominance in the middle east and gaining control over its financial and economic resources as israel’s main objective, in addition to its strategic positioning.