واﮐﺎوی ﺟﺎﯾﮕﺸﺖ ﻧﻘﺶ اﻣﻨﯿﺘﯽ اﯾﺎﻻت ﻣﺘﺤﺪه ﺑﺎ ﭼﯿﻦ در ﺧﻠﯿﺞ ﻓﺎرس

ﺑﺮداﺷﺖﻫﺎ در ﺧﺼﻮص ﺗﻤﺎﯾﻞ اﯾﺎﻻت ﻣﺘﺤﺪه ﺑﻪ ﺧﺮوج از ﺧﻠﯿﺞ ﻓﺎرس ﺑﺎ اﯾﻦ ﭘﺮﺳﺶ ﻫﻤﺮاه اﺳﺖ ﮐﻪ ﺧﻼء ﻗﺪرت اﺣﺘﻤﺎﻟﯽ ﻧﺎﺷﯽ از اﯾﻦ روﯾﺪاد را ﻗﺪرتﻫﺎی ﻧﻮﻇﻬﻮری ﻫﻤﭽﻮن ﭼﯿﻦ و روﺳﯿﻪ ﭘﺮ ﺧﻮاﻫﻨﺪ ﮐﺮد؟ ﻣﻘﺎﻟﻪ ﺣﺎﺿﺮ ﺑﻪﻃﻮر ﻣﺸﺨﺺ ﺑﻪدﻧﺒﺎل ﭘﺎﺳﺨﯽ ﻣﻨﺎﺳﺐ ﺑﺮای اﯾﻦ ﭘﺮﺳﺶ ﺑﺮآﻣﺪه اﺳﺖ ﮐﻪ ((آﯾﺎ اﻓﺰاﯾﺶ ﻋﻼﯾﻖ اﻗﺘﺼﺎدی ﭼﯿﻦ در ﺧﻠﯿﺞ ﻓﺎرس ﺑﻪ اﺗﺨﺎذ ﺳﯿﺎﺳﺖ اﻣﻨﯿﺘﯽ ﻓﻌﺎل از ﺳﻮی ﭘﮑﻦ در اﯾﻦ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ ﻣﻨﺠﺮ ﺧﻮاﻫﺪ ﺷﺪ؟ و ﭼﺮا؟))ﺑﺮ ﭘﺎﯾﻪ ﻓﺮﺿﯿﻪ ﻣﻘﺎﻟﻪ ((از آﻧﺠﺎﮐﻪ ورود ﺑﻪ ﭼﺎﻟﺶﻫﺎی ﭘﯿﭽﯿﺪه اﻣﻨﯿﺘﯽ ﺧﻠﯿﺞ ﻓﺎرس در ﺗﻀﺎد ﺑﺎ ﺳﯿﺎﺳﺖ ﭘﮑﻦ ﻣﺒﻨﯽ اﺳﺘﻔﺎده ﺣﺪاﮐﺜﺮی از ﻇﺮﻓﯿﺖﻫﺎی ﺗﺠﺎری در ﺟﻬﺖ ارﺗﻘﺎی اﻫﺪاف راﻫﺒﺮدی ﻣﻠﯽ ﻗﺮار دارد، دﯾﭙﻠﻤﺎﺳﯽ اﻗﺘﺼﺎدی ﭼﯿﻦ در خلیج فارس در ﮐﻮﺗﺎهﻣﺪت ﯾﺎ ﻣﯿﺎنﻣﺪت ﺑﻪ اﺗﺨﺎذ ﺳﯿﺎﺳﺖ اﻣﻨﯿﺘﯽ ﻓﻌﺎل اﯾﻦ ﮐﺸﻮر در ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ ﻣﻨﺠﺮ ﻧﺨﻮاﻫﺪ ﺷﺪ.)) ﯾﺎﻓﺘﻪﻫﺎی ﻣﻘﺎﻟﻪ ﮐﻪ ﺑﺎ روشﺷﻨﺎﺳﯽ اﺳﺘﻨﺘﺎﺟﯽ ذﯾﻞ ﻧﻈﺮﯾﻪ ﭘﻮﺷﺶ راﻫﺒﺮدی ﺑﻪ دﺳﺖ آﻣﺪه، ﺿﻤﻦ ﺗﺼﺪﯾﻖ ﻓﺮﺿﯿﻪ ﻣﻘﺎﻟﻪ ﺑﺎ اﯾﻦ ﻧﺘﯿﺠﻪ ﻫﻤﺮاه اﺳﺖ ﮐﻪ ارﺗﻘﺎی ﻣﻨﺎﻓﻊ اﻗﺘﺼﺎدی ﭼﯿﻦ در ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ و ﺗﻼش اﯾﻦ ﮐﺸﻮر ﺑﺮای ﻧﻔﻮذ ﺑﯿﺸﺘﺮ در ﮐﺸﻮرﻫﺎی ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ ﺑﺎ ﺗﻮﺳﻞ ﺑﻪ راﻫﺒﺮد ﻣﺼﻮنﺳﺎزی ﺑﻪ ﻃﻮر ﺑﺎﻟﻘﻮه ﻣﯽﺗﻮاﻧﺪ ﺑﻪ ﺗﺪرﯾﺞ و در ﻃﻮﻻﻧﯽﻣﺪت ﺑﻪ ﭘﺎﯾﺎن ﻫﮋﻣﻮﻧﯽ اﯾﺎﻻت ﻣﺘﺤﺪه در ﺧﻠﯿﺞ ﻓﺎرس ﻣﻨﺠﺮ ﺷﻮد. اﯾﻦ ﭘﮋوﻫﺶ از ﻧﻮع توصیفی - تحلیلی (ﮐﯿﻔﯽ) ﺑﻮده و در ﻓﺮاﯾﻨﺪ ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ ﯾﺎﻓﺘﻪﻫﺎ از روشﺷﻨﺎﺳﯽ اﺳﺘﻨﺘﺎﺟﯽ ا ﺳﺘﻔﺎده ﺷﺪه اﺳﺖ. ﮔﺮدآوری اﻃﻼﻋﺎت ﻧﯿﺰ ﺑﺎ اﺳﺘﻔﺎده از روش ﮐﺘﺎﺑﺨﺎﻧﻪای ﺑﺎ ﺗﮑﯿﻪ ﺑﺮ دادهﻫﺎی ﻋﯿﻨﯽ-ﺗﺎرﯾﺨﯽ ﺻﻮرت ﭘﺬﯾﺮﻓﺘﻪ اﺳﺖ

China’s influence in the light of the US security role in the Persian Gulf

Perceptions of the US desire to withdraw from the Persian Gulf are accompanied by the question of whether the potential power vacuum created by this event will be filled by emerging powers such as China and Russia. The present article specifically seeks an appropriate answer to the question, Will China’s growing economic interest in the Persian Gulf lead to Beijing’s active security policy in the region? And why? According to the paper, China’s economic diplomacy in the Persian Gulf in the short or medium term, as entering into complex Gulf security challenges is at odds with Beijing’s policy of maximizing trade capacity to advance national strategic goals. The period will not lead to the adoption of an active security policy in the region. Findings of the article obtained by the inferential methodology under the theory of strategic coverage, while confirming the hypothesis of the article, is accompanied by the conclusion that the promotion of China’s economic interests in the region and its efforts to further influence the region by resorting to safe strategy Reconstruction could potentially lead to the gradual and longterm end of US hegemony in the Persian Gulf. This research is of descriptiveanalytical (qualitative) type and in the process of analyzing the findings, inferential methodology has been used. Data collection was also done using the library method based on objectivehistorical data.