بررسی ماهیت، ساختار و وردایی زمانی گردش بزرگ مقیاس جو تابستانه بر روی جنوب غرب آسیا

در این پژوهش ساختار گردش بزرگ مقیاس جو بر روی جنوب غرب آسیا در طول دوره گرم سال مورد توجه قرار گرفت. ابتدا ویژگی‌های بنیادی و ماهیت گردش بزرگ مقیاس جو بررسی شد و سپس وردایی زمانی آن برای یک دوره 61 ساله (2008-1948) مورد تجزیه و تحلیل قرار گرفت. یافته‌های تحقیق بیان گر آن است با آغاز گردش موسمی در جنوب و جنوب شرق آسیا جریان مداری غرب سو و مداومی در وردسپهر فوقانی شکل می‌گیرد که محل اصلی همگرایی و نزول آن چاهه گرمایی جنوب غرب آسیا و شرق مدیترانه است. تداوم نزول بزرگ مقیاس هوای منشا یافته از منطقه موسمی با ایجاد گردش واچرخندی گسترده، جهش شمال سوی جت جنب حاره و معکوس شدن شیب نصف النهاری دما را در پی خواهد داشت. شرایط یاد شده، ساختار گردش بزرگ مقیاس جو را در امتداد نصف النهاری تغییر داده و پیدایش یک گردش هادلی معکوس و شروع تابستان را بر روی جنوب غرب آسیا موجب می‌گردد. در بررسی ماهیت پرفشارهای تابستانه مشخص گردید که پرفشارهای جنب حاره‌ای تابستانه بر روی جنوب غرب آسیا در تمامی ترازهای جو قابل مشاهده بوده و از جهت منشا اصلی تشکیل شان، یا ناشی از نزول هوا با منشا موسمی، یا فرارفت قائم گرما از سطح مناطق کوهستانی مرتفع و یا ترکیبی از این دو می‌باشند. نتایج تحقیق همچنین بیان­گر آن است که از میان سه شاخص فیزیکی، جت و شاخص دینامیکی که در این تحقیق ارائه شده و مورد استفاده قرار گرفته اند، شاخص فیزیکی به نحو مطلوب تری خصوصیات گردش تابستانه را نشان می‌دهد. بر اساس این شاخص، به طور متوسط فصل تابستان در جنوب غرب آسیا در روز 7 جون آغاز و پس از 113 روز در 28 سپتامبر به پایان می‌رسد. بررسی وردایی زمانی گردش جو بیان گر کاهش قابل ملاحظه طول فصل تابستان در طی دهه‌های اخیر بر روی منطقه می‌باشد. بر اساس نتایج، اگرچه زمان آغاز تابستان بر روی جنوب غرب آسیا در روند درازمدت خود تنها تغییرات بسیار ناچیزی را تجربه نموده، اما خط روند یک کاهش 8 تا 9روزه را در طی دوره مطالعه برای طول فصل تابستان نشان می‌دهد. یافته ها بیان گر آن است که کوتاه شدن طول فصل تابستان از 117روز به 109روز بر روی جنوب غرب آسیا ناشی از پایان زودرس فصل تابستان در دهه‌های اخیر می باشد. یافته ها همچنین نشان دهنده آن است که در طول دوره 61 ساله، گردش بزرگ مقیاس تابستانه در هر دو منطقه جنوب غرب آسیا و منطقه موسمی روند کاهشی مشابهی را در شدت خود تجربه نموده است. بررسی مولفه‌های مقیاس همدید نشان دهنده آن است که در وردسپهر میانی و زیرین از یک سو در شبه جزیره عربستان مرکز پرفشار و کم فشار عربستان و همچنین باد شمال، به طور محسوسی تقویت گردیده‌اند و از سوی دیگر واچرخند ترکمنستان، کم فشار پاکستان و باد سیستان در شمال شرق و شرق فلات ایران کاهشی را در شدت فعالیت خود تجربه نموده‌اند. میدان واگرایی افقی بر روی غرب ایران نیز از وجود یک روند افزایشی در شدت گردش در مرکز پرفشار ایران و در مرکز همگرایی زاگرس حکایت دارد.

Investigating the Nature, Structure and Temporal Variations of Summertime Atmospheric Circulation over Southwest Asia

IntroductionIn this paper, the authors have studied the largescale atmospheric circulation over southwest Asia during a boreal summer. First, substantial characteristics and nature of the largescale atmospheric circulation are investigated. Then, temporal variability of the circulation was examined during a 61years period (19482008). The findings indicate that the onset of the Asian monsoon is associated with the formation of a permanent westward flow in the upper troposphere. The corresponding maximum convergence and subsidence locations of the flow are the energy sinks over the southwest Asia and east of the Mediterranean Sea, respectively. Maintenance of the largescale atmospheric subsidence creates a transverse meridional gradient in the temperature field therefore, the meridional largescale circulation is changed and this in return creates a transverse Hadley circulation which forms over southwest Asia.Investigating nature of the summertime anticyclones over southwest Asia reveals that the anticyclones are dominant in all tropospheric levels. They are originally formed either as a result of the descending air which is basically originated from the monsoon region, or by accumulated heat of the surface of high plateaus in the midtroposphere due to intensive vertical advection of heat over southwest Asia, or a combination of both. The result also reveals that among the physical, dynamical, and Jet indices, the physical index more favorably shows characteristics of the summertime circulation. Based on the physical index, it’s found that the averaged summer season timing starts on June 7 and ends on September 28 over southwest Asia. Investigations on the temporal variability of the atmospheric circulation, indicates a considerable decreasing of summer length in the recent decades. On this basis, although the starting time of the summer shows very small changes in its longterm trend, the trend line shows an eight to nine days decreasing in the season’s length during the study period. The result revealed that the decreasing of summer length from 117 days to 109 days over southwest Asia is mainly due to the early ending of summertime in recent decades. It is also found that both the southwest Asia and the Asian monsoon regions have experienced similar decreasing trend in their summer largescale circulation strength during the study period. Examining the synoptic scale atmospheric components showed a considerable strengthening of the Arabian high and low and the Shomal wind over the Arabian Peninsula. On the other hand, the Turkmenistan anticyclone, the Pakistan low and the Sistan wind in the east and northeast of Iran plateau experienced a slight weakening in their activity. Also, Examination of the horizontal divergence field shows an increasing trend in the intensity of anticyclonic circulation on Iran and on the Zagros convergence zone in recent years. Material and methodsThe NCEP/NCAR daily reanalysis dataset (Kalnayet al. 1996) in a 61years period (19482008) were used to study the summer atmospheric circulation. In this research, variables of the Geopotential Height (gpm), Temperature, and Outgoing Long wave Radiation (OLR), zonal and meridonal wind components the dataset were used to calculate horizontal divergence field, divergent wind, relative vorticity and diabatic heating.We first examined the sinks and sources of energy in regional scale. Then, zonal and meridional largescale circulations as well as their vertical structure were analyzed for AprilOctober months in the period over southwest Asia to derive prevailing circulation patterns. Three regional indices including physical index, Jet Index, and dynamical index were designated to determine the starting/ending time and the length of summer seasons as well as to study the intensity of the atmospheric circulation over southwest Asia. The indices provided the possibility of assessing different aspects of the summer circulation. We also used the gpm, relative vorticity, horizontal divergent fields and diabatic heating charts to investigate structure of anticyclones on Iran and Arab countries in midtroposphere and the Turkmenistan anticyclone, the Pakistan low and the Zagros convergence zone in lower troposphere. Finally, the temporal variations of the summer circulation components were studied using the most suitable variable for each component. Results and discussionThe results show that the monsoon circulation is the main factor controlling the largescale summer circulation over southwest Asia. However, the surface heat forcing has the main role in the formation and maintenance of atmospheric circulation in the lower and middle troposphere.Investigation of the synoptic scale circulations, show that the Zagros chain is effective on formation of anticyclones over Iran. In fact, the vertical advection of heat induced by the elevated heat source in western Iran has a key role on the formation of a thermallydriven anticyclonic circulation in midtroposphere. On the other hand, formation of the Turkmenistan anticyclone and the Arabian anticyclone has different mechanisms. Formation of the Turkmenistan anticyclone in the lower troposphere is mainly due to the convergence and subsidence of the air with monsoon origin in southwest Asia at the levels below 600 hPa. While the Arabian anticyclone is strengthened by the descending air originated from the monsoon system as well as thermal forcing from surface and vertical advection of heat from the high lands in the western Arabian Peninsula. Application of circulation indices in this research led to recognition of the main characteristics of summertime atmospheric circulations including the starting/ending time, length, and intensity of the boreal summer over the southwest Asia. Examination of the temporal variability of the summertime atmospheric circulation over southwest Asia, show that the summer duration has been reduced considerably in recent years. Early ending of the summer can be physically related to the early ending of the transverse gradient in meridional temperature field during the recent 23 decades in the study region. The documents also indicated that shortening of the summer and weakening of the atmospheric circulation over southwest Asia has a relationship with shortening of the monsoon season and also weakening of the monsoon circulation over south and Southeast Asia. However, the correlation between the monsoon circulation and largescale atmospheric circulation over southwest Asia shows a decreasing trend. The latter can be an indicator of increasing regionalscale factors role on the southwest Asian climate. The overall result of this study indicates that from 1980 onward, the interannual variation in the intensity of the activity of atmospheric circulation components has been considerably decreased compared to the time before 1980.