Economic Factors in Determining the Penetration Coefficient of Mobile Phone in Iran .

In this paper we have studied the adoption rate of mobile phone in iran via the new technology diffusion models approach. the result show that its diffusion pattern has a s shaped curve which is consistent with logistic model. effective factors in diffusion pattern are: population, gdp, digitalization of the telecommunication system, government expenditures on the telecommunication sector, price of mobile phone and the inflation rate. we have also found that the logistic model has a batter explanatory power than the time series models.