Cancer Incidence and Prevalence in Isfahan: Application of Mortality Data to Estimates and Projects for the Period 2001-2015

Background: the aim of this study was to show up?to?dateestimates of incidence and prevalence in isfahan for all cancers,except non?melanoma skin cancer over the period 2001?2010 toprovide projections up to 2015, based on a statistical method thatuses mortality and cancer patients’ survival data.methods: mortality data in isfahan province were collected fromvarious sources such as hospitals, medical forensic, cemetery, andhealth centers. in addition, population data by sex, age, location,and calendar year in the period of 2001?2010 were acquiredfrom the statistical center of iran. relative survival probabilitiesfor all cancers combined and for selected specific cancers wereestimated based on observed cancer death and expected mortalitydata. incidence and prevalence estimates were computed withmortality?incidence analysis model (miamod) method.results: the estimated age?standardized cancer incidence ratehad higher increase rate for urban females than for males. also,the number of prevalent cancers was higher among females,which was mostly due to better cancer survival rates in women.age?adjusted incidence was estimated to increase by 6.9 and8.7 per 100000 annually, between 2001 and 2015, in males andfemales, respectively. the prevalence is to increase by 24 and 40and mortality by 2.8 and 2.5 per 100000 between 2001 and 2015.conclusion: the present study does not only show the incidenceand prevalence estimates of all cancers combined, but also givesinformation about cancer burden, which can be used as a basesfor planning healthcare management and allocating recourses inpublic health.