استراتژی دولت ترامپ در قبال تحولات عراق

ﺟﻨﮓ ﺳﺎل 2003 آﻣﺮﯾﮑﺎ ﻋﻠﯿﻪ ﻋﺮاق و ﺳﻘﻮط رژﯾﻢ ﺑﻌﺜﯽ ﻋﺮاق ﯾﮑﯽ ازرﺧﺪادﻫﺎی ﻣﻬﻢ ﻏﺮب آﺳﯿﺎ ﺑﻮد ﮐﻪ ﺳﺒﺐ دﮔﺮدﯾﺴﯽ در ﻧﻈﻢ ﺳﯿﺎﺳﯽ و اﻣﻨﯿﺘﯽ اﯾﻦ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ ﺷﺪ؛ ﭼﺮا ﮐﻪ ﺑﺎ ﺳﻘﻮط رژﯾﻢ ﺑﻌﺜﯽ، ﺷﯿﻌﯿﺎن در ﻋﺮاق ﻗﺪرت را در اﺧﺘﯿﺎر ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻨﺪ و اﯾﻦ ﻣﻮﺿﻮع ﻧﯿﺰ ﺑﺮ اﻓﺰاﯾﺶ ﺟﺎﯾﮕﺎه و ﻣﻮﻗﻌﯿﺖ ﻣﺤﻮر ﻣﻘﺎوﻣﺖ ﺑﻪ رﻫﺒﺮی ﺟﻤﻬﻮری اﺳﻼﻣﯽ اﯾﺮان در ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ ﻧﻘﺶ ﺑﺴﺰاﯾﯽ داﺷﺘﻪاﺳﺖ. در اﯾﻦ راﺳﺘﺎ؛ ﺗﺮاﻣﭗ ﺑﻪ ﺑﻬﺎﻧﻪ ﻧﺎﺑﻮدی ﺗﺮورﯾﺴﺖﻫﺎ ﺑﻪ ﺗﺜﺒﯿﺖ ﺣﻀﻮر ﻣﺠﺪد ﻧﻈﺎﻣﯽ اﯾﺎﻻت ﻣﺘﺤﺪه در ﺻﺤﻨﻪ ﺳﯿﺎﺳﺖ ﻋﺮاق ﻣﺒﺎدرت ورزﯾﺪه و از اﯾﻦ ﻃﺮﯾﻖ در ﺗﻼش ﺑﺮای ﺗﻀﻌﯿﻒ ﻣﺤﻮر ﻣﻘﺎوﻣﺖ و ﺣﺬف اﯾﺮان از ﻣﻌﺎدﻻت و ﻧﻈﻢ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪای در ﻏﺮب آﺳﯿﺎ ﺑﺮآﻣﺪه اﺳﺖ. ﻟﺬا ﺳﺆاﻟﯽ ﮐﻪ ﻣﻄﺮح ﻣﯽﺷﻮد اﯾﻦ اﺳﺖ ﮐﻪ دوﻟﺖ ﺗﺮاﻣﭗ در ﻗﺒﺎل ﺗﺤﻮﻻت ﻋﺮاق ﭼﻪ راﻫﺒﺮدی را دﻧﺒﺎل ﻣﯽﮐﻨﺪ؟ ﻓﺮﺿﯿﮥ ﭘﮋوﻫﺶ اﯾﻦ اﺳﺖ ﮐﻪ ﺗﺮاﻣﭗ ﺑﺎ ﺗﺪاوم ﺳﯿﺎﺳﺖ ﻗﺒﻠﯽ آﻣﺮﯾﮑﺎ در ﻗﺒﺎل ﻋﺮاق، ﺑﻪ ﺑﻬﺎﻧﻪ ﻣﺒﺎرزه ﺑﺎ ﺗﺮورﯾﺴﺖﻫﺎ و ﻧﯿﺰ ﺑﺮﻗﺮاری ﺛﺒﺎت در اﯾﻦ ﮐﺸﻮر، اﻫﺪاﻓﯽ ﻫﻤﭽﻮن ﮐﺎﻫﺶ ﻧﻔﻮذ اﯾﺮان در ﻋﺮاق و دﺳﺘﯿﺎﺑﯽ ﺑﻪ ﻣﻨﺎﺑﻊ ﻧﻔﺘﯽ اﯾﻦ ﮐﺸﻮر را دﻧﺒﺎل ﻣﯽﮐﻨﺪ و در اﯾﻦ راﺳﺘﺎ؛ﺑﻪ ﺗﺜﺒﯿﺖ ﻧﻘﺶ و ﺣﻀﻮر ﻧﻈﺎﻣﯽ دوﺑﺎره آﻣﺮﯾﮑﺎ در آﯾﻨﺪه ﻋﺮاق و اﻓﺰاﯾﺶ ﻧﯿﺮوﻫﺎی ﻧﻈﺎﻣﯽ ﺧﻮد ﻣﺒﺎدرت ﻣﯽورزد. ﯾﺎﻓﺘﻪﻫﺎی ﺗﺤﻘﯿﻖ ﻧﺸﺎن ﻣﯽدﻫﺪ؛ ﺗﺮاﻣﭗ ﺑﺎ ﺣﻀﻮر ﻧﯿﺮوﻫﺎی ﻧﻈﺎﻣﯽ آﻣﺮﯾﮑﺎﯾﯽ در ﺧﺎک ﻋﺮاق، ﺿﻤﻦ ﺳﺮﮐﻮب ﺷﺒﻪﻧﻈﺎﻣﯿﺎن ﻋﺮاﻗﯽ ﻣﻮرد ﺣﻤﺎﯾﺖ اﯾﺮان ﺑﺎ ﻫﺪف ﺣﺬف ﺗﻬﺮان از ﻣﻌﺎدﻻت ﻋﺮاق، در ﺻﺪد ﺳﺮﻣﺎﯾﻪﮔﺬاری و دﺳﺘﺮﺳﯽ ﺑﻪ ﺑﺎزار ﻣﺼﺮف ﻋﺮاق و ﻫﻤﭽﻨﯿﻦ ﻧﻘﺶآﻓﺮﯾﻨﯽ در ﺑﺎزﺳﺎزی اﯾﻦ ﮐﺸﻮر ﺑﺮ آﻣﺪه ﺗﺎ زﻣﯿﻨﻪ ﺻﺪور و ﻓﺮوش ﺻﻨﺎﯾﻊ ﻧﻈﺎﻣﯽ آﻣﺮﯾﮑﺎ در ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ را ﻓﺮاﻫﻢ ﻧﻤﺎﯾﺪ و از اﯾﻦ ﻃﺮﯾﻖ ﺗﺎ ﺣﺪودی ﻧﺮخ رﺷﺪ ﺑﯿﮑﺎری در آﻣﺮﯾﮑﺎ را ﻣﻬﺎر ﻧﻤﺎﯾﺪ. ﺑﺮای ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ داده ﻫﺎی ﭘﮋوﻫﺶ از روش ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞِ ﮐﯿﻔﯽ اﺳﺘﻔﺎده ﺷﺪه اﺳﺖ.

Strategy of the Trump's Government on Iraq

Iraq’s developments are one of the most important issues of West Asia, which in the years after 2003 involved somehow all foreign actors and the role of the United States as an interventionist player in Western Asian regional developments. Washington views the developments in Iraq as an important factor in redefining the regional order and has made the developments in its Middle East policy with the aim of achieving regional goals and interests. So the question is, what is the policy of the United States in its new strategy on the developments in Iraq? The research hypothesis is that the United States has adopted an aggressive and aggressive policy towards Iraq’s developments in pursuit of its interests and objectives, such as reducing the regional influence of Iran and accessing Iraq’s oil resources. Washington, by adopting such a policy, while securing the interests of the arms dealers, will launch on the pretext that the terrorists will not return to Iraq and to stabilize in the country to consolidate the presence and role of the United States in the future of Iraq.The research method is descriptive-analytic based on the theory of neorealism.