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جایگاه استان سیونیک ارمنستان در معادلات امنیتی کشورهای پیرامونی
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نویسنده
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منصوریان گقارد ,اسماعیلی بشیر
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منبع
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تحقيقات سياسي و بين المللي - 1402 - شماره : 54 - صفحه:60 -73
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چکیده
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ﭘﺲ از ﺟﻨﮓ 44 روزه ﺳﺎل 2020 و ﺗﺼﺮف ﻣﻨﺎﻃﻘﯽ از ﻗﺮاﺑﺎغ ﺗﻮﺳﻂ ﺟﻤﻬﻮری آذرﺑﺎﯾﺠﺎن ﺑﺎ ﭘﺸﺘﯿﺒﺎﻧﯽ ﻣﺴﺘﻘﯿﻢ رژﯾﻢ ﺻﻬﯿﻮﻧﯿﺴﺘﯽ و ﺗﺮﮐﯿﻪ، ﺗﻮازن ﻗﻮا ﻣﯿﺎن دو ﺟﻤﻬﻮری ارﻣﻨﺴﺘﺎن و آذرﺑﺎﯾﺠﺎن ﻣﺨﺘﻞ ﮔﺮدﯾﺪو ﺗﻬﺪﯾﺪ اﻣﻨﯿﺘﯽ ﻣﻬﻤﯽ را ﺑﺮای ﮐﺸﻮرﻫﺎی ﭘﯿﺮاﻣﻮﻧﯽ ﺑﻪ ﻫﻤﺮاه داﺷﺘﻪ اﺳﺖ.در اﯾﻦ ﺗﺤﻘﯿﻖ ﻧﺸﺎن داده ﺷﺪه اﺳﺖ ﮐﻪ ﺟﻤﻬﻮری آذرﺑﺎﯾﺠﺎن ﺑﻪ دﻧﺒﺎل اﯾﺠﺎد راه ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ ﺑﺎ ﺟﻤﻬﻮری ﺧﻮد ﻣﺨﺘﺎر ﻧﺨﺠﻮان از ﺳﺮزﻣﯿﻦ ارﻣﻨﺴﺘﺎن در اﺳﺘﺎن ﺳﯿﻮﻧﯿﮏ ﻣﯽ ﺑﺎﺷﺪ.در ﺻﻮرت ﺗﺤﻘﻖ اﯾﻦ ﺧﻮاﺳﺘﻪ ﺗﺮﮐﯿﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺻﻮرت زﻣﯿﻨﯽ ﺑﻪ ﻗﻔﻘﺎز ﺟﻨﻮﺑﯽ راه ﻣﯽ ﯾﺎﺑﺪ و ﮐﺸﻮر ﻫﺎی ﺗﺮک زﺑﺎن ﺗﺎ اﺳﺘﺎن ﺳﯿﻨﮑﯿﺎﻧﮓ ﭼﯿﻦ ارﺗﺒﺎط زﻣﯿﻨﯽ ﭘﯿﺪا ﻣﯽ ﮐﻨﻨﺪ. ﻣﻮاﺟﻬﻪ ﺑﺎ ﺑﺴﻂ رادﯾﮑﺎﻟﯿﺴﻢ ﺑﺮﺧﺎﺳﺘﻪ از ﭘﺎن ﺗﺮﮐﯿﺴﻢ، ﺗﻬﺪﯾﺪ اﻣﻨﯿﺘﯽ ﻋﻠﯿﻪ ﻣﺮز ﺗﺎرﯾﺨﯽ ارﻣﻨﺴﺘﺎن و اﯾﺮان، ﺣﻀﻮر ﻧﺎﺗﻮ در ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ ﻗﻔﻘﺎز ﺟﻨﻮﺑﯽ و درﯾﺎی ﺧﺰر از ﻣﺼﺎدﯾﻖ ﺟﺪﯾﺪ ﺗﻬﺪﯾﺪات ﻋﻠﯿﻪ ﮐﺸﻮرﻫﺎی ﭘﯿﺮاﻣﻮﻧﯽ ارﻣﻨﺴﺘﺎن ﻣﯽ ﺑﺎﺷﺪ. در اﯾﻦ ﭘﮋوﻫﺶ از ﻧﻈﺮﯾﻪ رِﺋﺎﻟﯿﺴﻢ و رﺋﺎﻟﯿﺴﻢ ﺗﺪاﻓﻌﯽ ﺑﻬﺮه ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻪ ﻣﯽ ﺷﻮدو روش ﭘﮋوﻫﺶ ﺗﻮﺻﯿﻔﯽ ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻠﯽ اﺳﺖ. ﭘﺮﺳﺶ اﺻﻠﯽ ﻋﺒﺎرت اﺳﺖ از اﯾﻦ ﮐﻪ اﺳﺘﺎن ﺳﯿﻮﻧﯿﮏ ارﻣﻨﺴﺘﺎن ﭼﻪ ﺟﺎﯾﮕﺎﻫﯽ در ﻣﻌﺎدﻻت اﻣﻨﯿﺘﯽ ﮐﺸﻮرﻫﺎی ﭘﯿﺮاﻣﻮﻧﯽ دارد؟ ﻓﺮﺿﯿﻪ ﺗﺤﻘﯿﻖ ﺑﺮ اﯾﻦ ﭘﺎﯾﻪ اﺳﺘﮑﻪ اﻫﻤﯿﺖ ژﺋﻮﭘﻮﻟﯿﺘﯿﮏ و ﻣﻮﻗﻌﯿﺖ اﺳﺘﺮاﺗﮋﯾﮏ اﺳﺘﺎن ﺳﯿﻮﻧﯿﮏ ارﻣﻨﺴﺘﺎن ﺑﻪ ﺧﺎﻃﺮاﯾﺠﺎد ﻣﺎﻧﻊ ﺟﻐﺮاﻓﯿﺎﯾﯽ در اﺷﺎﻋﻪ ﭘﺎن ﺗﺮﮐﯿﺴﻢ در ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ و ﺑﺴﻂ ﻧﺎﺗﻮ ﺑﻪ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ ﻗﻔﻘﺎز ﺟﻨﻮﺑﯽ و درﯾﺎی ﺧﺰر ﻣﯽ ﺑﺎﺷﺪو ﻫﺪﻓﺎﯾﻦ ﻣﻘﺎﻟﻪ، ﺗﺒﯿﯿﻦ اﻫﻤﯿﺖ راﻫﺒﺮدی اﻫﻤﯿﺖ و ﺟﺎﯾﮕﺎه اﯾﻦ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ و ﺗﻬﺪﯾﺪات ﻧﺎﺷﯽ از ﺳﯿﺎﺳﺖ ﻫﺎی ﺗﻮﺳﻌﻪ ﻃﻠﺒﺎﻧﻪ ﺟﻤﻬﻮری آذرﺑﺎﯾﺠﺎن ﺑﺮای ﮐﺸﻮر ﻫﺎی ﭘﯿﺮاﻣﻮﻧﯽ اﺳﺖ ﮐﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺣﻮزه وﺳﯿﻊ ﺗﺮی ﺗﺎ ﻣﺮزﻫﺎی ﻏﺮﺑﯽ ﭼﯿﻦ ﺗﺴﺮی ﭘﯿﺪا ﻣﯽ ﮐﻨﺪ.
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کلیدواژه
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ارﻣﻨﺴﺘﺎن، اﺳﺘﺎن ﺳﯿﻮﻧﯿﮏ، ﭘﺎن ﺗﺮﮐﯿﺴﻢ، ﻗﻔﻘﺎز ﺟﻨﻮﺑﯽ، ﮐﺸﻮرﻫﺎی ﭘﯿﺮاﻣﻮﻧﯽ
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آدرس
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دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی واحد شهرضا, ایران, دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی واحد شهرضا, گروه روابط بین الملل, ایران
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پست الکترونیکی
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bashir_esmaeili@yahoo.com
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the position of siwnik province of armenia in the security equations of the surrounding countries
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Authors
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mansourian geghard ,esmaeili gonharani bashir
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Abstract
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after the 44-day war of 2020 and the capture of areas of karabagh by the republic of azerbaijan with the direct support of the zionist regime and turkey, the balance of power between the two republics of armenia and azerbaijan was disrupted and has brought an important security threat to the surrounding countries. it has been reported that the republic of azerbaijan is seeking to establish a communication route with the autonomous republic of nakhichevan from the territory of armenia in siwnik province. if this request is fulfilled, turkey will reach the south caucasus by land, and the turkic-speaking countries will have a land connection to the xinjiang province of china. they find facing the expansion of radicalism arising from pan-turkism, the security threat against the historical border of armenia and iran, the presence of nato in the south caucasus region and the caspian sea are new examples of threats against the neighboring countries of armenia. in this research, the theory of realism and defensive realism is used, and the research method is descriptive and analytical. the main question is what is the position of siwnik province in armenia in the security equation of the surrounding countries? the hypothesis of the research is based on the geopolitical importance and strategic position of siwnik province of armenia due to the creation of a geographical barrier in the spread of pan-turkism in the region and the expansion of nato to the south caucasus and the caspian sea. it is one of the expansionist policies of the republic of azerbaijan for the surrounding countries, which extends to a wider area up to the western borders of china.
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Keywords
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armenia; pan-turkism; peripheral countries; siwnik province; south caucasia
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