شناسایی و تحلیل بازیگران موثر در تبدیل شهر ایرانی به جهانشهر اسلامی با رویکرد آینده ‌پژوهی (نمونۀ موردی: شهر اصفهان)

با جهانی ‌شدن اقتصاد، نقش دولت‌ها درمقایسه با گذشته در تبادلات اقتصادی و اجتماعی کشورها کم‌فروغ‌تر و به‌دنبال آن نقش شرکت‌های بین‌المللی و شهرهای جهانی چشمگیرتر شده است. در این خصوص سازمان‌ها و نهادهای داخلی به‌عنوان عوامل و بازیگران اصلی در ارتقا شهرها از بُعد منطقه‌ای به جهانی تاثیر‌گذار هستند. در پژوهش حاضر کوشش شده است تا با رویکرد آینده‌پژوهی نهاد‌ها و سازمان‌های موثر در ارتقا شهر اصفهان به جهانشر اسلامی شناسایی و رتبه‌بندی شود. نوع پژوهش از‌لحاظ هدف، کاربردی و رویکرد حاکم بر آن روش توصیفی-تحلیلی است. در پژوهش حاضر برای شناسایی متغیر‌ها و شاخص‌ها از تکنیک پویش محیطی و دلفی و برای تحلیل داده‌ها نیز از تحلیل ساختاری در نرم‌افزار میک‌مک و مدل مکتور استفاده شده است. طبق یافته‌های اولیه، بازیگران داخلی موثر شامل وزارت اقتصاد، سازمان بورس، وزارت علوم، وزارت راه و شهرسازی، سازمان میراث فرهنگی و وزارت نیروست. با‌توجه به ارزیابی‌های انجام‌شده در نرم‌افزار مکتور، بیشترین نقش در‌میان نهادهای تاثیر‌گذار، وزارت راه و شهرسازی به میزان‌ 29 درصد و وزارت اقتصاد و وزارت علوم هر‌کدام به میزان 15 درصد بوده است. در‌مقابل، کمترین مقدار اثرگذاری مربوط به سازمان بورس و وزارت نیرو به میزان 34- درصد بوده است که گویای توانایی این دو نهاد در اثرگذاری بر دیگر بازیگران است.

identification and analysis of effective actors in transforming the iranian city into an islamic global city with a future studies approach(case study: isfahan city)

global cities are emerging phenomena that act as connecting places of the global economic network in the context of the global economy and have caused the formation of the space of currents and the emergence of new power centers in the political geography map of the world. in this regard, domestic organizations and institutions are effective as factors (actors) in the promotion of cities from regional to global dimensions. this study aims to identify and rank institutions and organizations that are effective in promoting the city of isfahan to an islamic global city. the current research, with a future studies approach, identifies the most important factors affecting the transformation of isfahan into an islamic global city and identifies key players in this field. this research is practical in terms of its purpose and the dominant approach is the descriptive-analytical method. environmental scanning and delphi techniques were used to identify variables and indicators, and structural analysis was used in mic mac software and the mector model for data analysis. according to the findings of the research, the most important domestic players include the ministry of economy, the stock exchange organization, the ministry of science, research, and technology, the ministry of roads and urban development, the cultural heritage organization, and the ministry of energy. according to the evaluations carried out in mector software, the most influential institutions of the ministry of roads and urban development, the ministry of economy, and the ministry of science, research, and technology were 29 and 15 percent. on the other hand, the lowest amount of influence is related to the stock exchange organization and the ministry of energy (-34%), which shows the ability of these two institutions to influence other actors.keywords: islamic global city, global city, isfahan, future studies, actors. introductionin the third decade of 2020, the middle east region and even the world are undergoing major structural changes. these developments have intensified with the war in ukraine and the conflict between east and west, and a new order is being formed. in this regard, the leader of iran has explained three indicators and their outlines (isolation of the united states of america, transfer of power to asia, and expansion of the ideology of resistance) that can be theorized from the point of view of urban planning. as an example, the north-south corridor passes through iran, which denotes the increasing power of asian international organizations such as the shanghai organization, asean, etc., and expanding the international communication lines between asia and the middle east, such as china’s belt and road initiative (new silk road). it raises the need to pay attention to the metropolises of the middle east from the point of view of globalization and global communication. the theory of the islamic world is a new concept that is related to the state of the world economy based on three theories of the world (saskia sassen’s theory), islamic city theory (najmuddin bamat’s theory), and umm al-qora theory of the islamic world (mohammed javad larijani’s theory). the current research, with a future studies approach, investigates the most important factors affecting the transformation of isfahan into an islamic global city and identifies key players in this field. methodologymaterials and methodsthis research is practical in terms of purpose, and according to the investigated components, the governing approach is the descriptive-analytical method.