تبیین عوامل شناختی تاثیرگذار بر تمایل خانوارهای روستایی به زیست‌پذیری در شرایط خشکسالی در شهرستان هندیجان

خانوارهای روستایی شهرستان هندیجان مانند دیگر روستاییان استان خوزستان در چند سال اخیر به دلیل خشکسالی و افزایش گردوغبار با چالش‌های زیادی مواجه شده‌اند و سطح زیست‌پذیری آنان به‌شدت کاهش یافته است. در این زمینه، پژوهش حاضر با هدف کلی تبیین عوامل شناختی تاثیرگذار بر تمایل خانوارهای روستایی شهرستان هندیجان به زیست‌پذیری در شرایط خشکسالی انجام شد. جامعه‌ آماری پژوهش، همه‌ خانوارهای روستایی شهرستان هندیجان واقع در استان خوزستان با تعداد کل 1906 خانوار است. با استفاده از جدول کرجسی و مورگان، 230 نفر از آنها به روش نمونه‌گیری طبقه‌ای تصادفی با انتساب متناسب انتخاب شدند. ابزار گردآوری اطلاعات، پرسش‌نامه‌ای استاندارد است که روایی آن با پانل متخصصان و روایی سازه و پایایی آن با ضریب آلفای کرونباخ و پایایی ترکیبی تایید شد. در این پژوهش نظریه‌ رفتار برنامه‌ریزی، مبنای کار قرار گرفت. نتایج نشان داد متغیرهای نگرش، هنجار اخلاقی، دانش سازگاری، خودکارآمدگی و حس تعلق مکانی تاثیر مثبت و معنا‌داری بر تمایل به زیست‌پذیری خانوارهای روستایی در شرایط خشکسالی دارند؛ این در حالی است که متغیر هویت فردی و رفتار درک‌شده اثر معنا‌داری بر تمایل به زیست‌پذیری خانوارهای روستایی ندارد. گفتنی است متغیرهای مستقل 84.5درصد از واریانس متغیر وابسته‌ پژوهش (تمایل به زیست‌پذیری) را تبیین کرده‌اند. در این زمینه با توجه به نتایج پژوهش پیشنهاد می‌شود با بهبود دانش سازگاری و خودکارآمدی خانوارهای روستایی، سطح زیست‌پذیری آنان در شرایط خشکسالی بهبود یابد.

Explaining Cognitive Factors Influencing Farmers’ Intention towards Livability in Drought Conditions in Hendijan County

Today, climate changes are the most serious challenges facing humans. The climate change refers to any change in the climate over time which is primarily due to natural changes or human activities. Drought is one of the most dangerous climate changes affecting a wide range of climates and ecosystems and the affected geographical areas have increased sharply in the last four decades. In this regard, the outlook for the drought situation in Iran over the next 30 years shows that drought in the country will increase and during 2025, 2032, 2035, and 2039 most parts of the country will face a severe drought.  Meanwhile, the drought situation in 2039 will be much more critical. This is because most of our country is in the realm of arid and semiarid climates of the world. Iran alone has more severe arid, arid, and semiarid areas than most of the Europe. During the last 40 years, 27 different drought phenomena have occurred in the country. Therefore, some experts believe that drought is a climatic reality in Iran.  The location of more than 50% of Iran’s area in arid and low water regions causes drought periods and its effects to overcome wet periods. Areas that are climatically arid and semiarid are prone to the effects of drought. In this regard, the most vulnerable class of the society, which are farmers, are more severely affected by this natural disaster, because farmers’ reliance on dry farming can increase vulnerability and affect the lives of farmers. Therefore, in case of drought, it is necessary to review the living conditions of rural households and identify factors affecting them. Rural households in Hindijan County, like other rural areas in Khuzestan province, have faced many challenges in recent years due to drought and increasing dust, and their living standards have dramatically decreased. In this regard, the present study was conducted with the general aim of explaining the cognitive factors affecting farmers’ tendency towards livability in drought conditions. The statistical population of the study consisted of all rural households in Hendijan County located in Khuzestan province, the total number of which was 1906 households. By using Krejcie and Morgan Table, 230 of them were selected by the stratified sampling method with a proportional assignment. The data collection tool was a standard questionnaire whose validity was confirmed by a panel of experts. Its construct validity and reliability were confirmed by Cronbach’s alpha and combined reliability. In this study, the Theory of Planned Behavior (TPB) was used as the basis. The results showed that attitude, moral norms, adaptation knowledge, selfefficacy, and sense of belonging had a positive and significant effect on the tendency of rural households to live in drought conditions. While individual identity and perceived behavioral variables did not have a significant effect on the intention of rural households towards livability. It should be noted that the independent variables accounted for 84.5% of the variance of the dependent variable (intention of rural households to livability). In this regard, according to the results of the research, it is suggested that by improving the knowledge of adaptability and selfefficacy of rural households, they can improve their livability in drought conditions.