زمینه‌ها و عللِ تطویل منازعات قومی: بررسی موردی مساله کرد در ترکیه

برخی منازعات قومی علی‌رغم فراز و نشیب‌های طولانی مدت تداوم می‌یابد و با عدم غلبه یک طرف بر دیگری یا نرسیدن به توافق، به نظر لاینحل می‌رسند. ظاهراً منازعه قومی کردی/ پ.ک.ک در ترکیه از این نمونه‌هاست. در این مقاله پس از بررسی نظریات مهم توضیح‌دهنده بروز منازعات قومی و نظریه تطویل پیتر کلمن، مدل ساده‎ای طرح می‌شود که بیان می‌کند چگونه نارضایتی‌های ناشی از زمینه‌های داخلی می‌تواند توسط نخبگان قومی، چارچوب‌بندی شده و ابرازشود. در ادامه با مطالعه موردی پ.ک.ک استدلال می‌شود که این گروه از داخل جریان‌های چپ ترکیه سربرآورده و در مطالبات خویش، علاوه بر عقب‌ماندگی، حقوق قومی/ ملی و استقلال کردستان را نیز مطرح می‌ساخت. در عمل، مباررات مسلحانه در مناطق جنوب شرق ترکیه، خونریزی و خشم، تخلیه هزاران روستا و انتقال اهالی به شهرهای بزرگ، برقراری حالت فوق‌العاده و تشکیل مارپیچ خشونت را موجب شد. علی‌رغم پاسخگویی به اغلب مطالبات و رفع محدودیت‌های حکومت کودتاگران و حالت فوق‌العاده، پ.ک.ک و اوج‌آلان و احزاب سیاسی مرتبط، مطالبات جدیدتری را مطرح کرده‌اند. به نظر می‌رسد که در کنار حمایت خارجی، سازماندهی و روش‌های جدید تامین مالی پ.ک.ک، موقعیت ژئوپلیتیک مناطق کردنشین، امکان تعقیب جدی افراد مسلح و تصرف کمپ‌های آنها را دشوار ساخته و مرزهای نفوذپذیر عراق و سوریه و فروپاشی نسبی دولت در این کشورها، چشم‌انداز ختم منازعه دولت ترکیه و پ.ک.ک را مبهم ساخته است.

contextual factors and causes of prolonged ethnic conflicts: a case study of the pkk in turkey

introductionprotracted or intractable ethnic conflicts are a type of clashes that, despite fluctuating levels of violence, seem to have no foreseeable resolution. an example of such a conflict is the pkk (kurdistan workers’ party) crisis in turkey. despite its four-decade history and significant political and social impacts on the country, there appears to be no clear end in sight. the persistence of these conflicts not only jeopardizes the security of the conflict-ridden nation but also has a ripple effect on neighboring countries, draining their resources and hindering their development and prosperity. this paper aims to comprehend these enduring ethnic conflicts and analyze the factors and causes influencing them, using the pkk as a case study.methodologywhen it comes to the causes of ethnic conflicts, there are numerous theories and models, but their universality and comprehensiveness are often questioned. for instance, ted robert gurr proposed four categories: salience for ethnocultural identity, incentives for action, dynamics for protracted conflicts, and capacity for action, each with its own facets and dimensions. another scholar, stuart j. kaufman, believes that the outbidding of ethnic elites and their manipulation of ethnic symbols play a significant role in inciting hostility against the government or other ethnic groups. shiping tang, on the other hand, considers the four master drivers: emotion, interest, capability, and opportunity. as for the prolongation of conflicts, james samuel coleman identifies four dimensions: the context of the conflict, the issues at stake, the relations among ethnic groups, and the processes, outcomes, and consequences of the conflict.this paper proposes a model based on the philosophical principle that “the persistence of an effect is contingent on the persistence of its cause”. according to this model, the perpetuation of dissatisfaction or the emergence of new dissatisfaction (either through the ongoing framing of contentious issues or their reframing) results in the perpetuation of the cycle of violence and revenge. this situation is further exacerbated by the enduring presence of international supporters or the emergence of new backers. concurrently, these conditions solidify the geopolitical factors that have played a role in initiating and perpetuating ethnic conflicts.result and discussionthe pkk emerged during the radical period of the 1970s in turkey. this group highlighted the need to secure the national and ethnic rights of the kurds, in addition to addressing the underdevelopment of kurdish regions. the initiation of armed conflict by this group provoked a strong governmental response, leading to forced displacement, the declaration of a state of emergency, and an escalation in violence. consequently, a broader segment of kurdish society was drawn into the conflict.despite the fulfillment of some kurdish demands during erdogan’s tenure, particularly in the early years, the pkk and affiliated groups introduced new demands and a fresh framework of issues and conflicts. this group maintains its financial resources by engaging in smuggling and a variety of illicit activities. it has gained international supporters, in part due to the rise of isis and the need for extra-regional powers to leverage the pkk forces in combating it. by establishing a monopoly over kurdish representation and eliminating potential competitors, the group has managed to maintain its position in the political landscape of kurdish society and turkey. meanwhile, the geopolitics of the kurdish regions remain relatively unchanged. on the other hand, the limited control exerted by turkey’s neighbors over the country’s southern borders has not impeded border crossings, thereby reducing the effectiveness of the turkish forces’ military pursuit of the pkk group.