عوامل موثر بر تهیه برنامه چشم انداز توسعه در ناحیه روستایی هزارجریب (شرق مازندران)

حقیق حاضر به بررسی عوامل موثر بر تهیه برنامه چشم انداز توسعه در ناحیه روستایی هزارجریب می پردازد. این تحقیق به لحاظ هدف کاربردی و بر اساس روش، توصیفی – تحلیلی است. جامعه آماری مورد مطالعه، خبرگان ناحیه روستایی هزارجریب و خبرگان دستگاه های اجرایی مرتبط با امور روستایی هستند. خبرگان محلی(دهیاران و شوراها) 152 روستا به تعداد 152 نفر و خبرگان دستگاه های اجرایی  35 نفر هستند که با روش تعیین حجم نمونه با جامعه نامعلوم تعیین شده اند. برای انتخاب نمونه ها از روش نمونه گیری هدفمند استفاده شده است. برای جمع‌آوری داده‌ها واطلاعات از روش کتابخانه‌ای و میدانی، از فن پرسشگری و ابزار پرسشنامه استفاده شده است. در تجزیه و تحلیل داده‌ها از آزمون های دوربین واتسون(بررسی استقلال خطاها از یکدیگر)، رگرسیون، تحلیل مسیر و همبستگی پیرسون در نرم افزار spss بهره گیری شده است. مبتنی بر یافته های پژوهش این نتیجه حاصل شده است که عوامل موثر در تهیه برنامه چشم انداز توسعه روستایی در دو گروه ظرفیت ها و موانع شناسایی شدند که ظرفیت ها شامل جاذبه های گردشگری روستایی، توانمندی های بخش کشاورزی و سرمایه انسانی و موانع شامل محدودیت های ساختاری و برنامه ریزی، ناکارآمدی نهادی، ضعف مدیریت محلی و سازمانی، ضعف قوانین، غفلت از بخش کشاورزی، مشکلات اقتصادی و اجتماعی می باشند. با تعمق در ماهیت این عوامل و روابط مستقیم و غیر مستقیم، این نکته کلیدی مشخص شده است که محدودیت های ساختاری برنامه ریزی، ناکارآمدی نهادی، ضعف مدیریت محلی سازمانی و ضعف قوانین، موانع کلیدی تهیه برنامه چشم انداز توسعه در ناحیه روستایی هزار جریب می باشند.

effective factors in providing a development visioning plan in the hezarjarib rural area

introduction:in each country, development in rural areas requires coherent planning and coordination that derived from the dominant ideology and accepted by the stakeholders of development.  studies have shown that in many countries, particularly in developed and even developing countries visioning has been an initial step for planning. the purpose of visioning development is to focus on potential, opportunities and rural issues. indeed, every community has its own unique history, geography, and development trajectory. vision is an activity that citizens and stakeholders decide to create a common vision of the future of their community and also that is interactive and participatory process. successful rural community development demands an integrated and comprehensive approach to identify opportunities, constraints and social expectations. in the hazarjarib rural area, diversity of environment is dominant; therefore, achieving development is a comprehensive understanding of the local level. despite of its capacities and resources, it has not succeeded in stabilizing its true status in the country’s economy. it moves on the path to nondevelopment, in which the acceleration of poverty overcomes development. so this study is aimed to identify effective factors in providing a development visioning plan. key question in this project: what are effective factors in providing a development visioning plan in the hazarjarib rural area?  methodology the present study surveys effective factors in providing a development visioning plan hazarjarib rural area. this is an applied research and uses descriptiveanalytical method. data were collected through fieldwork and library study, questionnaires and interviews. the statistical population has included of 2 groups, the councils of 152 villages with 10605 households and experts 35 people. sampling is done in two parts. the first part, questionnaires, interview with the local expert and stakeholders, the total number is counted. in the experts part; use purposive sampling. in data analysis, durbin watson tests, regression, path analysis and pearson correlation were used in spss software.results and discussiona) effective factors in providing a development visioning planthe results showed that the factors were identified in two categories: capacities and barriers. capacities include rural tourism attractions, agricultural sector capabilities and human capital and barriers include structural and planning constraints, institutional and administrative constraints, the weakness of local and institutional management, the weakness of the law, neglect of the agricultural sector, and economic and social problems.b) effective mechanism in providing a development visioning planamong the set of effective factors, obstacles including institutional inefficiency, neglect of agricultural sector, planning and structural constraints and economic problems with impact factor        0.597, 0.413, 0.346 and 23.3, have the most direct and significant effective on providing a development visioning plan. also lack of local and institutional management, weaknesses in laws and social problems has indirect effects. among these factors, agricultural capabilities and rural tourism attractions has a direct impact on the rural development program with impact factor 0.395 and 0.300. mentioned factors, in addition to direct effectiveness, they are indirectly affected in providing a development visioning plan. due to high number of obstacles, they have shown their direct effects negatively. this means that, without removing the barriers, capacities can also have a diminishing and negative effect on the preparation of visioning plan. capacities and capabilities will play a positive role in providing development visioning plan, as long as, constraints of structural planning system, local management and agricultural sector problems and issues related to them to be solved.conclusionexistence of a development vision program based on local participation and using existing ecological talents and abilities, it causes indigenous development. also neglected to prepare the program, it led to unequal development, economic and social injustice, migration, and so on. , as long as these barriers are not resolved in the preparation of a vision plan, any planning and preparation of a program for development and longterm goals will be inefficient and ineffective.